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Why variance still matters at these rates Even with an SIR rate of ~1 in 71, the variance in any single session is significant: Opening one booster box (36 packs) gives roughly a 40% chance of pulling an SIR meaning most single-box sessions end with zero Print run batching means SIRs can cluster into specific cases, leaving adjacent cases dry The 500-pack opening pulled 7 SIRs but distribution across individual boxes within that 500 would not be uniform Small samples (12 boxes) are too small to draw conclusions about personal luck or set rates Chasing a specific SIR: the real odds Total SIRs in set: 11 (7 Pokmon SIRs + 4 Trainer SIRs) Avg packs per any SIR: ~71 Avg packs per specific SIR: ~781 At 36 packs per booster box, that is roughly 22 booster boxes per specific SIR on average Verdict: For a specific card, buy the single

for PPC, Lunar Flight does 80 minus 10 for each damage counter on Cresselia

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However, I think Emerald Diablo is one of the best cards in the game